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[CIRCLE-2] JI UNCERT: Workshop on Uncertainty and Climate Change Adaptation

8-9 November, 2012

Agenda & Documents

Presentations

Day 1

Day 2

Joint Initiative on Climate Uncertainties | Tiago C Lourenço (FFCUL) and Ana Rovisco (FFCUL)

Workshop goals | Arthur Petersen (PBL)

Panel 1: Scenarios and adaptive policy making

Developing dynamic adaptive policy pathways: A computer-assisted approach to developing robust adaptation strategies for a deeply uncertain world | Jan H. Kwakkel
A threshold approach to climate change vulnerability assessment | Joseph Casola
Cross-sectoral integration in regional adaptation to climate change via participatory scenario development | Jakob Wachsmuth

Panel 2: Dealing with uncertainty in decision support tools

Implementing information on the costs and benefits of adaptation in a portfolio-based decision framework | Alistair Hunt
The use of new economic decision support tools for adaptation assessment: A review of methods and applications, and guidance on applicability | Paul Watkiss
Investment in coastal adaptation under climate change uncertainty | Karianne de Bruin

Panel 3: Typologies and communication of uncertainty

An experience in communicating and taking into account uncertainties for regional climate adaptation plans | Christian Pagé
Combining scientific and lay knowledge of water users to reduce the uncertainty in climate change adaptation strategies | Sofia Bento

Panel 3: Typologies and communication of uncertainty (cont.)

Mainstreaming uncertainty in DRR / CCA capacity development | Peter van der Keur
Evaluating uncertainty in a multi-sectoral, climate change impacts and adaptation assessment in Europe | Paula Harrison | Mark Rounsevell

Panel 4: Empirical analysis of decision making under uncertainty

Engaging abundance in the Dutch delta | Arjen Zegwaard
Handling uncertainty in climate change risk governance adaptation networks | Manuel Gottschick
Managing uncertainties in climate change adaptation: The case of flood and coastal erosion risk management | Christian Kuhlicke

Panel 5: Evaluation of decision making approaches

Challenges in using a robust decision making approach to guide climate change adaptation in South Africa | Joseph Daron
Development investment decision-making under climate uncertainty | Charles Rodgers
Lessons learnt from adaptation planning in deltas and coastal cities | Ad Jeuken

Workshop dynamics

Participation was open to all actors (e.g., scientific and communication experts; policy analysts; decision-makers; modellers; economists; etc.) working in the field of uncertainties in climate and climate change adaptation. In order to take part in the workshop, participants had to submit an abstract. After submission, abstracts were analysed and selected by the Workshop scientific committee[1]. Selected authors were invited to present a full paper to be discussed in Lisbon during November 8^th and 9^th of 2012. Selected papers will be part of a Special Issue which was submitted to Climatic Change on April 2013. After the workshop, participants were e-mailed a questionnaire in order to evaluate if their expectations had been met. The results are available in the section above.

Venue

The Workshop was conducted in English and was held in the Faculty of Sciences of the University of Lisbon, in Lisbon, Portugal. There was no registration fee. Any questions associated with this process should be addressed to Ana Rovisco.

[1] Suraje Dessai (Leeds University), Tiago Capela Lourenço (CCIAM - FFCUL), Richard Moss (Maryland University), Arthur Petersen (PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency) and Ana Rovisco (CCIAM - FFCUL).