Identification of research needs and opportunities for joint
research, and sharing of knowledge on:
dealing with and communicating climate change uncertainties in support of
climate change adaptation policy development.
Organiser: Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological
Institute (SMHI) and Knowledge for Climate Research Programme (KvK)
Venue: Stockholm, Sweden (see map or general information)
Workshop presentations:
DAY 1 - Thursday, November 11th
Session 1: Plenary opening session. Chair: Annette Münzenberg (DLR, Germany)
- Opening and welcome by Carin Nilsson (SMHI, Sweden) DOWNLOAD PRESENTATION
- Different types of uncertainties and their relevance for CCIVA policy questions
by Rob Swart
(WUR, Netherlands) DOWNLOAD PRESENTATION
- Why do policy makers need to know about uncertainties by Nafees Meah (DECC, United
Kingdom) DOWNLOAD PRESENTATION
- Uncertainties in different elements of cause-impacts-adaptation chain by Ole
Bossing Christensen (DMI, Denmark) DOWNLOAD PRESENTATION
Session 2: Parallel groups
A. Scenarios in EU IVA
research & B. Guidance on uncertainty management for EU research. Chair: Hans Martin Füssel
(EEA)
- Use of global, European and regional/local scenarios in European CCIVA research
by Tim Carter (SYKE,
Finland) DOWNLOAD PRESENTATION
- Revised uncertainty guidance for the IPCC AR5 by Kristi Ebi (IPCC WG2 TSU) DOWNLOAD PRESENTATION
- Uncertainty guidance of the IPCC and the Netherlands Environmental Assessment
Agency: lessons for EU
research by Arthur Petersen (PBL, Netherlands) DOWNLOAD PRESENTATION
C. (Mis-)use of uncertainty
in decision making. Chair: Anna Bratt (County Administrative Office Östergötland, Sweden)
- (Mis-)use of uncertainty in decision making by Anna Bratt (CAOÖ, Sweden)
- 3 practical examples by Rob Swart (KvK, Netherlands) DOWNLOAD PRESENTATION
Session 3a: Plenary: uncertainties in
practice: policy application.
Chair: Annette Münzenberg (DLR,
Germany)
- Uncertainties in regional climate change impact assessment with focus on
hydrology - Results of
the project: Adaption strategies on climate change for the Austrian water
management by Klaus
Haslinger (ZAMG, Austria) DOWNLOAD PRESENTATION
- How do decision makers manage uncertainties when climate-proofing urban
planning by Niels
Bent Johansen (Copenhagen Energy, Denmark) DOWNLOAD PRESENTATION
DAY 2 - Friday, November 12
Session 3b: Plenary: uncertainties in
practice: the supply side. Chair:
Marianne Lillieskold (SEPA,
Sweden)
- Dealing with uncertainties in climate scenarios by Jochen Schanze (IOER,
Germany)
- Dealing with uncertainty in the modeling chain by Claas Teichmann
(Max-Planck.Institut fur Meteorologie, Germany) DOWNLOAD PRESENTATION
- Dealing with uncertainties in support of the German adaptation strategy by
Sonja Otto (FEA, Germany) DOWNLOAD PRESENTATION
Session 4: Parallel groups
A. Is provision of
probabilistic information worth the trouble? Chair: Ole Bøssing Christensen (DMI, Denmark)
B. Visualization of
uncertainty information. Chair: Arthur Petersen (PBL, Netherlands)
- Visualization and the potential for influencing perceptions and behaviour: the
IMCORE example by Stefan
Gray (University College Cork, Ireland) DOWNLOAD PRESENTATION
- Addressing uncertainty in climate change impacts and response options using
participatory scenario development
and visualizations by Sarah Burch (ECI-Oxford University, United Kingdom) DOWNLOAD PRESENTATION
- Visualizing uncertainty in maps by Arthur Petersen (PBL, Netherlands) DOWNLOAD PRESENTATION
Session 5: Plenary: Synthesis and
future collaboration.
Chair: Rob Swart (KvK, Netherlands)
- Dialogue with audience on their expectations. Have they been met in this
workshop? by Carin Nilsson (SMHI
Sweden) DOWNLOAD PRESENTATION
- Dialogue on future collaboration: which opportunities can we identify for joint
research activities in the
area of uncertainty management by Tiago Capela Lourenço (FFCUL Portugal) DOWNLOAD PRESENTATION
